Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop X

Albany, New York

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

9:00 am

Welcoming Remarks

Eugene P. Auciello, Meteorologist In Charge

Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer

National Weather Service, Albany, New York

Session A – Cool Season Topics / Winter Weather

Session Chair – Joseph P. Villani

9:05 am

The Inland Extent of Lake Effect Snow Bands in Central and Eastern New York

Joseph P. Villani

NOAA/National Weather Forecast Office,  Albany,  New York

9:25 am

The 8-9 March 2008 Winter Storm in Upstate New York: An Example of a “Multi-Hazard” Event

Brian J. Frugis

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Albany,  New York

9:45 am

A Further Investigation of Mohawk Hudson Convergence Cases

Hugh W. Johnson IV

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Albany,  New York

10:05 am

Intense Surface Cyclone Activity in the Arctic during the 2005–06 and 2006–07 Cool Seasons

Brian Silviotti

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences,  University at Albany,  State University of New York,  Albany,  New York

10:25 am

Strong Polar Anticyclone Activity over the Northern Hemisphere and an Examination of the Alaskan Anticyclone

Justin E. Jones

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany,  State University of New York,  Albany,  New York

10:45 am

Break 

Beverages & Snacks for sale in Rotunda by Capital District Chapter of the AMS

Session B  –  Ensemble Forecasting and Modeling

Session Chair – Warren R. Snyder  

11:10 am

Operational High Resolution Modeling for the Vancouver 2010 Olympics

R. McTaggart-Cowan

Numerical Weather Prediction Research Division,  Meteorological Service of Canada, Quebec,  Canada

11:30 am

Customization of a Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction System for

Industrial Site Operations Applications

Anthony P. Praino

IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center,  Yorktown Heights,  New York

11:50 am

Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts and High Resolution Model Output to Assess the Potential for Tornadoes across Southeast Virginia on 28 April 2008

Josh Korotky

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Pittsburgh,  Pennsylvania

12:10 pm

Validation of Storm Surge Models for the New York Bight and Long Island Regions and the Impact of Ensembles

Tom Di Liberto

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,  Stony Brook University,  State University of New York,  Stony Brook,  New York

12:30 pm

Lunch

2:00 pm

Use of Mesoscale Ensemble Weather Predictions to Improve Short-Term Precipitation and Hydrological Forecasts

Michael Erickson

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University,  State University of New York,  Stony Brook,  New York

2:20 pm

Northeast Regional Ensemble Simulations of the

10 February 2008 Lake Effect Snow Event: WRF Wind Biases and their Implications on Forecasted Snow Band Position

Justin Arnott

NOAA/National Weather Forecast Office,  Binghamton,  New York

2:40 pm

The Ambrose Jet: Climatology and Simulations of Warm-Season Coastally Enhanced Winds in the New York Bight Region

Brian A. Colle

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,  Stony Brook University,  State University of New York,  Stony Brook,  New York

3:00 pm                                  

Verification of SREF Aviation Forecasts at Binghamton, NY

Justin Arnott

NOAA/National Weather Forecast Office,  Binghamton,  New York

3:20 pm

Break

Beverages & Snacks for sale in Rotunda by Capital District Chapter of the AMS

Session C – General Session and Keynote Presentation

Session Chair – Neil A. Stuart  

3:50 pm

Societal Impacts of Severe Weather – The Future of Prediction, Communication and Post-Event Analysis

Neil A. Stuart

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Albany,  New York

4:10 pm 

A New Hampshire Ground-Level Ozone Pollution Forecasting Tool Using Meteorological Criteria

Laura L. Landry

Department of Atmospheric Science and Chemistry,  Plymouth State University, Plymouth,  New Hampshire

4:30 pm

Keynote Presentation

Introduction – Lance Bosart

The Explicit Prediction of Convective Storms: Progress and Pitfalls

Morris Weisman

National Center for Atmospheric Research,  Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division,  Boulder,  Colorado

6:00 pm

ADJOURN

Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop X

Albany, New York

Thursday, November 6, 2008

Session C – General Session (Continued)

8:30 am

2007-8 Verification of the HPC Winter Weather Desk and Upcoming Changes to the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Short Range Ensemble Forecast System

Dan Petersen
NWS/NCEP Hydrometeorological Prediction Center,  Camp Springs,  Maryland

8:50 am

A Project to Improve Forecasts of Radiation Fog at Elmira, New York

Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Binghamton,  New York

9:10 am

Integration of a Mesoscale Ensemble System into National Weather Service Hydro-Meteorological Operations

Jeffrey Tongue

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Upton,  New York

9:30 am

A Distributed Flash Flood Forecasting Rainfall-Runoff Model Applied to Watersheds in the Northeast United States

Michael Schaffner

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Binghamton,  New York

9:50 am

Break

Beverages & Snacks for sale in Rotunda by Capital District Chapter of the AMS

Session D – Warm Season / Convection

Session Chair – Steve R. DiRienzo 

10:10am

Severe Squall Line Across  Quebec on August 18th 2008

An Overview

Robert Michaud

Quebec Storm Prediction Centre,  Meteorological Service of Canada,  Environment Canada, Montreal, Quebec

10:30 am

Radar Characteristics of the July 2008 New Hampshire Tornado:  Precursor and Tornadogenesis Stages

John Cannon

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Gray,  Maine

10:50 am

The Mesoscale Environment Associated with the Formation and Maintenance

of the 24 July 08 New Hampshire Tornado

Mike Cempa

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Gray,  Maine

11:10 am

A Spatial Climatology of Convection in the Northeast U.S.

John Murray

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,  Stony Brook University,  State University of New York,  Stony Brook,  New York

11:30 am

Convective System Morphology over Northeast United States

Kelly Lombardo

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,  Stony Brook University,  State University of New York,  Stony Brook,  New York

11:50 am

Preferred Regions of Convective Development over Northern New England as a Function of Flow Regime: Southwesterly Flow Case Studies

Jennifer Q. Belge

Department of Atmospheric Science and Chemistry Plymouth State University,  Plymouth,  New Hampshire

12:10 pm

Maintenance of a Mesoscale Convective System over Lake Michigan

Nicholas D. Metz

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences,  University at Albany,  State University of New York,  Albany,  New York

12:30 pm

Lunch 

Session E – CSTAR Projects, and Related Topics

Session Chair  - Tomas A. Wasula

2:00 pm

A Storm-Scale Analysis of the 16 June 2008 Significant Severe Weather Event Across New York and Western New England

Thomas A. Wasula 

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Albany,  New York

2:20 pm

A Diagnostic Analysis of a Difficult-to-Forecast Cutoff Cyclone from the 2008 Warm Season

Matthew A. Scalora

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences,  University at Albany,  State University of New York,  Albany,  New York

2:40 pm

A High-Resolution Climatology and Composite Study of Mesoscale Band Evolution within Northeast U.S. Cyclones

David R. Novak

NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters, Scientific Services Division,  Bohemia,  New York

3:00 pm

The 2008 “PRE-Season” In Review: A Comparison of Tropical Cyclones Fay, Hanna, and Ike with Regards to Predecessor Rainfall Event (PRE) Development

Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office,  Binghamton,  New York

3:20 pm

Break

Beverages & Snacks for sale in Rotunda by Capital District Chapter of the AMS

3:40 pm

Use of the Nondivergent Wind for Diagnosing Banded Precipitation Systems

Thomas J. Galarneau, Jr.

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York,  Albany,  New York

4:00 pm

A Climatology of High Lapse Rates and Associated Synoptic-Scale Flow Patterns over North America and the Northeast US

Jason M. Cordeira

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

4:20 pm

Here a TC, There a TC, Everywhere a TC: The "Spin" on the Active Part of the North Atlantic 2008 TC Season

Lance F. Bosart

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , University at Albany, State University of New York,  Albany, New York

5:00 pm  

ADJOURN

6:30pm

CSTAR Dinner at Buca di Beppo Italian Restaurant

44 Wolf Road,  Colonie,  New York

NROW XI will be held November 4-5, 2009