Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop XI
Welcoming Remarks
Eugene P. Auciello, Meteorologist In Charge
Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer
National Weather Service,
Conference Chairs
Steve R. DiRienzo
Senior Service Hydrologist,
National Weather Service,
Warren R. Snyder
Science & Operations
Officer, National Weather Service,
Session A – Warm Season Topics / Convection
8:00 am
Southerly or “Reverse Mohawk-Hudson Convergence Cases”
Hugh W. Johnson and Kim Sutkevich
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Albany, New York
8:15 am
Preparing for a Change in Severe Hail Warning Criteria in 2010
Brian J. Frugis
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Albany, New York
8:30 am
Issues Associated with Transitioning to a New Severe Hail Criteria
Matthew Steinbugl
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, State College, Pennsylvania
8:50 am
Matthew R. Kramar
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Sterling, Virginia
9:10 am
Eyad Atallah
McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
9:30 am
Reanalysis of Southern New England Tornadoes to Improve Warning Verification
Joseph W. DelliCarpini
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Taunton, Massachusetts
9:50 am
Evaluation and Response to the Northern and Downeast Maine
Tornado Events of 2009
Todd Lericos
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Caribou, Maine
10:10 am
Break
Refreshments available for sale by the Capital Region Chapter of the AMS
Session B – Cool Season Topics /Winter Weather
10:30 am
HPC Winter Weather Desk Operations and Upcoming NCEP Model Changes
Dan Petersen
NOAA/NWS Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, Maryland
10:50 am
Far Upstream Precursors of Early-Season Cold-Air Outbreaks over the Northeast United States
Jason M. Cordeira
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY
11:10 am
Improving Forecasts for High Impact Sub-Advisory Snow Squalls
David Nicosia
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York
11:30 am
Planetary and Synoptic Analysis of Freezing Rain Events in Montreal, Quebec
Gina M. Ressler
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
11:50 pm
Michael Evans
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Lunch
Session- C Keynote Presentation
Introduction – Warren R. Snyder
Volcanic Eruptions and Climate:
Comparing Climatic Response to Low and High Latitude Volcanic Eruptions, and
Are They a Good Analog for Geoengineering?
Alan Robock
Department of Environmental Sciences,
Question & Answer Session
Break
Refreshments available for sale by the Capital Region Chapter of the AMS
Session D – Hydrology and Heavy Rain Events
Julie Demargne
NOAA/NWS Office of Hydrologic
Development,
Ice Jams on the Lower Mohawk River
John I. Garver
Geology Department,
Stephen N. DiRienzo
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
John S. Quinlan
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Implementation
of the Community Hydrologic Prediction System
at the Northeast River Forecast Center
David R. Vallee
NOAA/
Frank M. Nocera
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
An Overview of an Unprecedented Flash Flood Event in Western New York
David Zaff
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office,
Adjourn
Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop XI
Session E – General Session
Scott Sukup and Tim Melino
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences
University at
Heather M. Archambaul
Department of Atmospheric and
Environmental Sciences, University at
Decision Support Services for High Profile Events
Brandon Smith
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Session F – Modeling and Ensemble Forecasting
1. Lessons in Predictability: The Post Groundhog Day 2009 Storm
2. Lessons in Predictability: Part 2 - The March 2009 “Megastorm”
Neil A. Stuart
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Towards an Ensemble Forecast Air Quality System for New York State
Michael Erickson
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook
University, Stony
Meteorological Evolution and Model Performance for Fire Threat Days Over the Northeast U.S.
Joseph Pollina
School of Marine and Atmospheric
Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Evaluation of a Multi-Model Storm Surge Ensemble for the New York Metropolitan Region
Brian A. Colle
School of Marine and
Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony
E. Novakovskaia
IBM,
Break
Refreshments available for sale by the Capital Region Chapter of the AMS
Session G – CSTAR & Related Topics
Kelly Lombardo
School of Marine and
Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State
Alissa Razy
Department of Atmospheric
& Oceanic Sciences,
Lunch
Northeast Convective Flash Floods: Helping Forecasters Stay Ahead of Rising Water
Joseph P. Villani
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
The Northeast Convective Flash Flood Project: July 29th 2009 Flash Flood Case Study
Derek V. Mallia
Department of Atmospheric and
Environmental Sciences, University at
State
Alan M. Cope
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast
Office,
Thomas A. Wasula
NOAA/NWS Weather
Forecast Office,
Analysis of Precipitation Distributions Associated with Two Cool-Season Cutoff Cyclones
Melissa Payer
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences
University at
Break
Cool-Season High Wind Events in the Northeast
Jonas V. Asuma
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences
University at
Benjamin J. Moore
Department of Atmospheric and
Environmental Sciences, University at
State
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.
NOAA/NWS Weather Foreacst
Office,
Predecessor Rain Events Ahead of TC Ike and TC Lowell on 11–14 September 2008
Lance F. Bosart
Department of Atmospheric and
Environmental Sciences, University at
Adjourn
CSTAR Dinner at Buca di Beppo Italian Restaurant
NROW XII will be held November 3-4, 2010