Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop VIII

Albany, New York

Wednesday, November 1, 2006

8:45 am

Welcoming Remarks

Eugene P. Auciello, Meteorologist In Charge

Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer

National Weather Service, Albany, New York

Session A – Winter Weather / Cool Season Topics

Session Chair – Thomas Wasula

9:00 am

The 17 February 2006 Severe Weather and High Wind Event across Eastern New York and New England

Thomas A. Wasula 

NOAA/National Weather Service, Albany, New York

9:20 am

A Multiscale Examination of a Mesoscale Cyclogenesis Event in a Polar Airstream

Thomas J. Galarneau

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

9:40 am

Northwest Flow - Watch Out: Experience With a Dangerous Canadian Export

David Zaff

NOAA/National Weather Service, Buffalo, New York

10:00 am

Break

10:30 am

Orographic Forcing, Stable Stratification, and a Labrador Retriever: The 4 March 2006 Snowfall in Northern Vermont

Peter C. Banacos

NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office, Burlington, Vermont

10:50 am 

A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Perfect Storms of 1991

Jason M. Cordeira

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY

11:10 am

Support for High Impact Sub-Advisory Winter Precipitation Events Along Interstate 80 in Central Pennsylvania:  A Partner Project with the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and the Pennsylvania State Police

Gregory A. DeVoir

NOAA/National Weather Service, State College, Pennsylvania

11:30 am

Lake Effect Thunder‑Snows Over the Eastern Great Lakes

Robert Hamilton

NOAA/National Weather Service, Buffalo, New York

11:50 am

A Method to Reliably Predict Convective Modes (Organized Bands vs. Open- Cellular Development) in Late Season Lake-Effect Snow Events

Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.

NOAA/National Weather Service, Binghamton, New York

12:10 pm

Improving the Understanding and Prediction of Lake-Effect Snowstorms in the Eastern Great Lakes Region - a NWS BUF and SUNY Oswego COMET Partners project
David Zaff

NOAA/National Weather Service, Buffalo, New York

12:30 pm

Lunch

2:00 pm

Anticyclones Cause Weather Too:  An Understanding of Worldwide Strong Anticyclones and Anticyclogenesis

Matthew L. Doody

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

2:20 pm
The Small-Scale New England Coastal Bomb of 9 December 2005:
A Near-Miss Hurricane Zeta?

Lance F. Bosart

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

Session B – Modeling

Session Chair – Warren R. Snyder

2:40 pm

Mesoscale Investigations and Modeling in the Northern Mid-Atlantic

Paul J. Croft

Kean University, Union, New Jersey

3:00 pm

Correlations between Observed Snowfall and NAM Forecast Parameters:

Part 1 – Dynamical Parameters

Michael S. Evans

Part 2 - Microphysical Parameters

Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.

NOAA/National Weather Service, Binghamton, New York

3:40 pm

Exploitation of Ensemble Output at NCEP HPC

Peter C. Manousos

NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Camp Springs, Maryland

4:00 pm

Break

4:20 pm

Forecast Performance of an Operational Meso-Gamma-Scale Modeling System for Extratropical Systems

Anthony P. Praino

International Business Machines, T.J. Watson Research Center, ACTC/Deep Computing Systems

4:40 pm

Using Wind Anomalies to Forecast East Coast Winter Storms

Neil A. Stuart

NOAA/National Weather Service, Albany, New York

5:00 pm

The Use of Ensemble and Anomaly Data during the 13-16 May 2006 New England Record Rain Event

Neil A. Stuart

NOAA/National Weather Service, Albany, New York

5:20 pm

Simulation of Lake Effect Snow using the Workstation WRF model

Daniel Leins

NOAA/National Weather Service, Cleveland, Ohio

5:40 pm

Using a Mesoscale Model to Identify Convective Initiation in an Air Route Traffic Control Center/Center Weather Service Unit ARTCC/CWSU) Environment

Warren R. Snyder

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

6:00 pm

ADJOURN

Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop VIII

Albany, New York

Thursday, November 2, 2006

Session C – CSTAR Projects and Related Topics

Session Chair  - Joseph P. Villani

9:00 am

The 19 April 2002 Supercell initiated by a Lake Breeze in Northwestern Ohio

Robert L. Tracey

NOAA Educational Partnership Program

NOAA/National Weather Service, Albany, New York

9:20 am

Predictability of the 22–24 January 2005 Northeast Blizzard

Heather Archambault

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, New York

9:40 am

Unexpectedly Heavy Near-Coastal Precipitation Due to Mesoscale Features Induced by a Landfalling Tropical Storm

Alan F. Srock

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

10:00 am

Heavy Rainfall Events Preceding the Arrival of Tropical Cyclones

Matthew R. Cote

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY

10:20 am

A Climatology of Tropical Transition

R. McTaggart-Cowan

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

10:40 am

BREAK

11:10 am

Mesoscale Precipitation Structures Accompanying Landfalling and Transitioning Tropical Cyclones in the Northeast United States

Jared R. Klein

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY

11:30 am

Warm-Season Lake-/Sea-Breeze Severe Weather in the Northeast

Patrick Wilson

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:50 am

Lunch

Session D – Warm Season Topics and Convection

Session Chair – John S. Quinlan

1:30 pm

Derecho Formation, Evolution and MCS Interactions During BAMEX

Nicholas D. Metz

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

University at Albany, State University of New York

1:50 pm

Using Ensemble Probability Forecasts And High Resolution Models

To Identify Severe Weather Threats

Josh Korotky

NOAA/National Weather Service, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

2:10 am

The 4 August 2004 Central Pennsylvania Severe Weather Event - Environmental and Topographic Influences on Storm Structure Evolution

Joseph P. Villani

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

Session E – Hydrology

Session Chair – John S. Quinlan

2:30 pm

Northern New England Coastal Flooding 

John W. Cannon

NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office, Gray, Maine

2:50 pm

A Flash-Flood Climatology for the National Weather Service Eastern Region

Alan M. Cope

NOAA/ SEQ CHAPTER \h \r 1National Weather Service, Mount Holly, New Jersey

3:10 pm

GIS Applications in Meteorology and Hydrology

John S. Quinlan

NOAA/National Weather Service, Albany, NY

3:30 pm

The June 2006 East Canada Creek Flood – Forecasting a Record Category Flood in the Absence of Real-Time Gage Data.

Robert C. Kilpatrick

NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

3:50 pm

Closing Remarks

Warren R. Snyder

4:00 pm  

ADJOURN

6:00 pm

CSTAR Dinner at Buca di Beppo Italian Restaurant

44 Wolf Road, Colonie, New York

NROW IX will be held November 7 & 8, 2007