Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop

Albany, New York

Tuesday, November 1, 2005

Day Chair – Raymond Okeefe

8:30 am

Welcoming Remarks

Eugene P. Auciello, Meteorologist In Charge, NWS Albany, New York

Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer, NWS Albany, New York

Raymond Okeefe, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Albany, New York

Session A. Modeling

8:45 am Predictability and Extended Range Forecasts: The Complimentary Roles of HPC and WFOs

Peter Manousos

NOAA/NWS National Center for Environmental Prediction, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Silver Spring, Maryland

9:10 am Predictability and Extended Range Forecasting

Josh Korotky

NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

9:35 am An Investigation of Model-Simulated Band Placement and Evolution in the 25 December 2002 Northeast U.S. Banded Snowstorm

David Novak

NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, New York

10:00 am Storm Surge Modeling for the New York Metropolitan Region

Brian A. Colle

Marine Sciences Research Center

Stony Brook University/SUNY

10:25 am

Break

10:50 am Convective Forecast Performance of an Operational Mesoscale Modeling System0

Anthony P. Praino

IBM Thomas J Watson Research Center,

Yorktown Heights, New York

Session B. Severe Convection/Warm Season

11:15 am An Examination of Three Derecho Events and MCS Interactions During the First Week of July 2003 Concurrent With BAMEX

Nicholas D. Metz

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:40 am A Statistical Analysis and Synoptic Climatology of Heat Waves over the Northeast United States

Scott C. Runyon

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

12:05 pm Ridge Rollers: Mesoscale Disturbances on the Periphery of Cutoff Anticyclones

Tom Galarneau, Jr.

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

12:30 Lunch

2:00 pm Elevated Mixed Layers and their Role in Significant Severe Thunderstorm Episodes in the Northeastern United States

Michael L. Ekster

NOAA/NWS, Weather Service Forecast Office, Upton, New York

2:25 pm A Multiscale Analysis of the 23-24 November 2004 Southeast United States Tornado Outbreak

Alicia Wasula

2:50 pm The Thanksgiving 2004 Severe Weather Event across Upstate New York and New England

Thomas A. Wasula

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

3:15 pm Tornadoes to Torrents: The Southern Ontario Severe Weather Event of August 19, 2005

Robert Hamilton

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Buffalo, New York

3:40 pm

Break

4:00 pm – Keynote Presentation NCEP Update; Focus on the Winter Weather Desk
Dr. Louis W. Uccellini, Director

NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Camp Springs, Maryland

5:00 pm

Adjourn

Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop

Albany, New York

Wednesday, November 2, 2005

Day Chair – Warren R. Snyder

Session C. Hydrology

8:30 am An Examination of the Environmental Characteristics ofFlash Flooding in the Binghamton, NY County Warning Area

Stephen Jessup

Cornell University, Ithaca, New York

8:55 am

Winter Hydrology: Modeling River Ice and Ground Frost to Improve Flood and Flash Flood Warning Accuracy

Stephen N. DiRienzo

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

Session D. CSTAR Projects and Related Topics

9:20 am The Tropical Transition of Hurricane Alex (2004): Observations and Forecast Implications\

Lance F. Bosart
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

9:45 am Modeling the Initialization and Tropical Transition Hurricane Alex (2004)

R. McTaggart-Cowan

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

10:10 am

Break

10:35 am A Comparison of Tropical Cyclones Cindy (2005) and Ivan (2004) during their Extratropical Transition (ET) Phases

Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.

NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

11:00 am Cool-Season Regime Transition and Its Impact on

Precipitation in the Northeast

Heather Archambault

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:25 am Cool-Season Moderate Precipitation Events in the Northeastern United States

Keith Wagner

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:50 am A Climatological Study of Storm Track and Banding for Mid-Atlantic Snow Storms from 1960 – 2004

Patrick F. Maloit

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Wakefield VA

12:15 pm Examining the Role of Mesoscale Features in the Structure and Evolution of Precipitation Regions in Northeast Winter Storms

Matthew D. Greenstein

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

12:40 pm

Lunch

Session E. Aviation and Operations

2:00 pm Aviation Cloud Forecasts – A True Challenge for Forecasters

Jeffrey S. Tongue

NOAA/National Weather Service, Upton, New York

2:25 pm Multi-Year Examination of Dense Fog at Burlington International Airport

John M. Goff

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Burlington, Vermont

2:50 pm The “Similar Sounding” Technique for Incorporating Pattern Recognition Into the Forecast Process at WFO Binghamton, New York

Michael Evans and Ron Murphy

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, NY

3:15 pm

A Study of Coherent Tropopause Disturbances within the Northern Hemispheric Circumpolar Vortex

Joseph R. Kravitz

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

3:40 pm

Closing Remarks

Warren R. Snyder

3:45 pm

Adjourn

NROW 8 will be held November 7-8, 2006