Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop XVI

Albany, New York

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

 

 

8:30 am

Welcoming Remarks

Raymond G. O’Keefe, Meteorologist In Charge

Warren R. Snyder, Science & Operations Officer

National Weather Service, Albany, New York

 

Session A – Cold Season Topics

8:40 am

A Multi-scale Analysis of the 26-27 November 2014

Pre-Thanksgiving Snowstorm

Thomas A. Wasula

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

9:01 am

Update to Gridded Snowfall Verification: Computing Seasonal Bias Maps

Joseph P. Villani

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

9:22 am

Cool-season extreme precipitation events in the Central and

Eastern United States

Benjamin J. Moore

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

9:43 am

A Case Study of the 18 January 2015 High-Impact Light Freezing Rain Event

Across the Northern Mid-Atlantic Region

Heather Sheffield

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Sterling, Virginia

 

10:04 am

The November 26, 2014 banded snowfall case in southern New York

Michael Evans

NOAA / NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

 

10:25 am

Break

 

10:55 am

An analysis of Chesapeake Bay effect snow events from 1999 to 2013

David F. Hamrick

NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, Maryland

 

11:16 am

Changes in the Winter Weather Desk Operations at the Weather Prediction Center (WPC), and New Experimental Forecasts

Dan Petersen

NOAA/NWS/NCEP Weather Prediction  Center, College Park, Maryland

 

11:37 am

Applying Fuzzy Clustering Analysis to Assess Uncertainty and Ensemble System Performance for Cool Season High-Impact Weather

Brian A. Colle

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University,

Stony Brook, New York

 

11:58 am – Lunch

 

 

Session B –UAlbany/NWS CSTAR

1:30 pm

Updated Radar-Based Techniques for Tornado Warning Guidance in the Northeastern United States

Brian J. Frugis

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

1:51 pm

Ensemble variability in rainfall forecasts of Hurricane Irene (2011)

Molly B. Smith

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

2:12 pm

A Multiscale Analysis of Major Transition Season

Northeast Snowstorms

Rebecca B. Steeves

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences

University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

 

 

 

 

 

2:33 pm

A Composite Analysis of Northeast Severe Weather Events with Varying Spatial Impacts

Matthew Vaughan

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

2:54 pm

The 22 December 2013 Cold Air Damming Event across the Hudson River Valley in East-Central New York

Ian R. Lee

NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

3:15 pm

Break

 

 

Session C – Heavy Rainfall and Hydrology

3:45 pm

Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service Revisited

Erick Boehmler

NOAA/NWS Northeast River Forecast Center, Taunton Massachusetts

 

4:06 pm

A multiscale analysis of three sequentially linked flood-producing heavy rainfall events during August 2014

Lance F Bosart

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

4:27 pm

An assessment of local forecaster’s ability to anticipate flash flooding using the Hazardous Weather Outlook product at WFO Binghamton, New York

Michael Evans

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

 

4:48pm

The Record South Carolina Rainfall Event of 3-5 October 2015:Estimating the Threat Using Average Recurrence Intervals

Charles Ross

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office,State College, Pennsylvania

 

 

 

 

 

5:09 pm

The Record South Carolina Rainfall Event of 3-5 October 2015:

NCEP Forecast Suite Success story

John LaCorte

NOAA/NWS  Weather Forecast Office,  State College, Pennsylvania

 

5:30 pm

An Examination of “Parallel” and “Transition” Severe Weather/Flash Flood Events

Kyle Pallozzi

Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

 

5:51pm

Wrap up

Warren Snyder

 

6:00pm - Adjourn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agenda

Northeast Regional Operational Workshop XVI

Albany, New York

Thursday, November 5, 2015

 

Session D – Modeling/Ensembles/SUNY Stonybrook

8:00 am

Development of a Webpage to Diagnose Ensemble Cyclone Track Uncertainty with Additional Supporting Graphics

Michael Erickson

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

 

8:21 am

Evaluation of WRF Simulated Multi-bands over the Northeast U.S. Using Varied Initial Conditions and Physics

Sara A. Ganetis

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University,

Stony Brook, New York

 

8:42 am

Exploring Multi-Model Ensemble Performance in Extratropical Cyclones over Eastern North America and the Western Atlantic Ocean

Nathan Korfe

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University,

Stony Brook, New York

 

9:03 am

Using Model Climatology to Develop a Confidence Metric for Operational Forecasting

Taylor Mandelbaum

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

 

9:24 am

High Resolution Simulations of an Extreme Precipitation Event over Long Island on 13 August 2014

Nicholas Leonardo

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

 

 

 

 

 

9:45 am

Variational Approach to Improve Computation of Sensible Heat Flux over Lake Superior

Zuohao Cao

Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

 

10:06 am

Break

 

10:35 am

Analysis of Two Missed Summer Severe Rainfall Forecasts

Zuohao Cao

Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

 

10:56 am

Utilization of Hyper-Local Weather Prediction to Increase Grid Resiliency and Accelerate Renewable Integration in Vermont

Rob D’Arienzo

Vermont Electric Power Company, Rutland, Vermont

 

 

Session E – General Session

11:17 am

An Integrated Modelling and Observing System for the Study of the Ecology of Lake George in the Jefferson Project

Anthony Praino

IBM Research, Yorktown, New York

 

11:38 am

Severe Turbulence Associated with a Meso-Low/Gravity Wave Across  the New York Terminal Radar Approach Control

Gordon Strassberg

NOAA/NWS Center Weather Service Unit, Ronkonkoma, New York

 

Noon

Lunch

 

1:30 pm

A Comparison of LiDAR wind profiles with National Weather Service high-resolution rawinsonde observations

Jeffrey M. Freedman

Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, University at Albany, Albany New York

 

 

 

 

1:51 pm

The Provincetown IV Ferry Incident of August 13, 2014: Was a Rogue Wave to Blame?

Joseph W. DelliCarpini

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Taunton, Massachusetts

 

2:12 pm

The New York State Mesonet: Network Installation and Operations

J. Brotzge

Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, Albany, New York

 

 

Session F – Warm Season/Convection

2:33 pm

The August 4, 2015 Severe Weather Outbreak in Southern New England:

Two Rare Significant Events Within 12 Hours

Hayden M. Frank

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Taunton, Massachusetts

 

2:54 pm

Using Dual Polarization Radar to Determine Supercell and QLCS Characteristics Just Prior to Tornadogenesis and Tornado Dissipation

Michael L. Jurewicz Sr

NOAA/NWS  Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

 

3:15 pm

Using Layered Precipitable Water and Other Satellite Derived Datasets to Anticipate High Impact Weather Events (Heavy Precipitation and Severe Weather Applications)

Michael L. Jurewicz Sr

NOAA/NWS  Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

 

3:45 pm

Break

 

4:15 pm

Climatology of Polygon-Based Severe Thunderstorm Warnings for New England

Chris Kimble

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Gray, Maine

 

4:36 pm

The July 19, 2015 “Non-Event” in Southern New England: What Happened?

Frank M. Nocera

NOAA/NWS Weather Foreacast Office, Taunton, Massachusetts

 

 

4:57 pm

Severe weather events in Southern Brazil and their similarity with events in the United States

Bruno Z. Ribeiro

National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São Paulo, SP, Brazil

 

5:17 pm

Analyzing the Roles of Low-Level Forcing and Instability in Significant Severe Weather Outbreaks

Neil A. Stuart

NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

5:38 pm - Wrap Up

Warren R. Snyder

 

5:45 pm

Adjourn

 

7:00 pm

CSTAR Dinner at Buca di Beppo Italian Restaurant for Participants in UAlbany-NWS CSTAR V & Proposed VI.

44 Wolf Road,  Colonie,  New York

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NROW XVII is scheduled November 2-3, 2016

At the Nano South Conference Center, Room 103, 255 Fuller Road

On the Campus of the College of Nanoscale Science and Engineering

State University of New York,  Albany , New York