Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Session A – Warm Season Topics Convection
The May 26-27, 2010 Eastern New York and Western New
England Significant Severe Weather Event
Thomas A. Wasula
NOAA/
A Tale of Two Severe Weather Surprises – The
Isolated Outbreak of 16 July 2010 and the Widespread Severe Weather of 17 July
2010
Neil A. Stuart
NOAA/
9:30 am
The Influence of the Elevated Mixed Layer on
Record High Temperatures and Severe Weather Over the Northeast US in April and
May 2010
Jason M. Cordeira
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental
The Impacts of the Strong Subtropical Ridge
of 2010
Kevin S. Lipton
NOAA/
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region
Improving New York City Thunderstorm Forecasts
Christina Speciale
Department of Environmental Sciences,
11:15 am
Synoptic and Mesoscale Conditions associated with
Persisting and Dissipating Mesoscale Convective Systems that Cross Lake
Michigan
Nicholas D. Metz
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at
11:40 am
Investigation of Lightning Patterns over New Jersey
and Surrounding Area
Alan M. Cope
NOAA/
1:30 pm
Morphologic Investigation of
Thunderstorm Initiates and GIS Attributes with Testing for Improved Operational
Nowcasting of Thunderstorms and their Severity in New Jersey
Dr. Paul J. Croft, Meteorologist
Programs of Geology & Meteorology, College of Natural, Applied, &
Health Sciences
Kean University, Union, New Jersey
1:55 pm
A “Survey” of Tornadoes and their Environments in
the WFO Sterling, VA Forecast Area
Matthew R. Kramar
NOAA/
2:20 pm
Observed Inverted V Soundings and Downstream
Severe Weather in New York and Pennsylvania
Michael Evans
NOAA/
2:45 pm
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region
Session B - Ensemble Forecasting, Modeling & Related Topics
3:15 pm
Forecast Challenges in the NWS Albany, NY
Forecast Area Associated with
the Winter Storms of the 2009-2010 Season
Neil A. Stuart
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York
3:40 pm
Ensemble Post-Processing and Its Potential
Benefits for the Operational Forecaster
Michael Erickson
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook,
New York
4:05 pm
An Automated Rossby Wave Packet Tracking Program:
Preliminary Climatological and Model Verification Results
Matthew Souders
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State
University of New York, Stony Brook, New York
4:30 pm
An Overview and Update of the HPC Medium Range Forecast Program
Michael Schichtel
NOAA/NWS Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, Maryland
4:55pm
Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts, Climate
Anomalies, and High Resolution Model Guidance to Determine the Potential for
Tornadoes across Parts of the Ohio Valley, New Jersey and New York City on 16
September 2010
Josh Korotky
NOAA/
5:20 pm
Standard Anomalies to Identify High
Impact Weather Events
Richard H. Grumm
NOAA/
5:45 pm – Adjourn
Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Session C – Decision Support & Related Topics
8:30 am
Community Environmental Networks for Risk
Identification and Management
Dr. Paul J. Croft, Meteorologist
Programs of Geology & Meteorology,
8:55 am
Operational Utilization and Evaluation of a
Coupled Weather and Outage Prediction Service for Electric Utility Operations
B. Hertell
Consolidated
9:20 am
Application Of An Operational Meso-Scale Modeling
System For Industrial Plant Energy Operations
9:55 am – Break
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region
Session D – Cool Season Topics & Hydrology
10:20 am
Microphysical Evolution Within Winter Snow Storms
over Long Island, New York
David Stark
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State
University of New York, Stony Brook, New York
Examining the Damaging New England Windstorm
of 25-26 February 2010 as a Shapiro-Keyser Cyclone
Stacie Hanes
NOAA/
WFO Binghamton Synoptic Flash Flood Classification
Study
Christopher Gitro
NOAA/
11:45 am
Lunch
Session E – CSTAR Part 1 – Projects and CSTAR Related Topics
Predictability of High Impact Weather during the
Cool Season over the Eastern U.S: CSTAR Scientific Objectives
1:40 pm
Predictability of High Impact Weather
during the Cool Season over the Eastern U.S: CSTAR Operational Aspects
Jeffrey Tongue
NOAA/
2:05 pm
A 16-year Climatology of Ice Storms in WFO
Albany’s County Warning Area and a Comparison of Two Recent Events
Kevin S. Lipton
NOAA/
2:30 pm
MCS Organization and Development Along
Land/Lake-Induced Thermodynamic Boundaries near Lake Superior
Alan F. Srock
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State
University of New York, Albany, New York
2:55 pm
The 2010 “PRE-Season” In Review: A Look
at Tropical Cyclones Earl, Hermine, and Nicole
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York
3:20 pm
Southerly or ‘Reverse’ Mohawk Hudson
Convergence Cases
Hugh Johnson and Kimberly McMahon
NOAA/
3:45 pm
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region
An Overview of the Northeast River Forecast
Operations and Services and its migration to the Community Hydrologic
Prediction System; “It’s not your Grandfather’s RFC anymore”!
David R. Vallee
NOAA/
5:45pm
Adjourn
Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Friday, November 5, 2010
Session G - CSTAR Part 2 – Projects and CSTAR Related Topics
8:30 am
Synoptic and Mesoscale Processes associated with
Predecessor Rain Events
ahead of Tropical Cyclones
Benjamin J. Moore
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences,
8:55 am
The Impact of the Saint Lawrence Valley on the
Precipitation Distribution Associated with Extratropical Transitions, 1979-2008
Giselle C. Dookhie
Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal,
Quebec, Canada
9:20 am
Extreme Weather Events over the Northern
Hemisphere during Winter 2009-2010
Lance F. Bosart
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany,
State University of New York, Albany, New York
9:45 am
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region
10:10 am
Forecasting the Inland Extent of Lake-Effect
Snow Bands
Joseph P. Villani
NOAA/
10:35 am
Use of the Albany Hail Study to Predict Large
Hail During the 21 July 2010 Severe Weather Event
Brian J. Frugis
NOAA/
11:00 am
High-Impact Weather and Reduced
Predictability over the United States Associated with the Recurvature of
Western North Pacific TC Malakas (2010)
Heather M. Archambault
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany,
State University of New York, Albany, New York
11:25 am
Closing Remarks
Adjourn
NROW XIII will be held for 3 full days, Tuesday November 1 through Thursday 3, 2011