Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Wednesday, November 3, 2010

 

Session A – Warm Season Topics Convection

8:40 am
The May 26-27, 2010 Eastern New York and Western New England Significant Severe Weather Event 
Thomas A. Wasula 
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

9:05 am
A Tale of Two Severe Weather Surprises – The Isolated Outbreak of 16 July 2010 and the Widespread Severe Weather of 17 July 2010
Neil A. Stuart
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

9:30 am
The Influence of the Elevated Mixed Layer on Record High Temperatures and Severe Weather Over the Northeast US in April and May 2010
Jason M. Cordeira
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences
University
at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

9:55 am
The Impacts of the Strong Subtropical Ridge of 2010
Kevin S. Lipton
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

10:20 am
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region AMS in the Rotunda

10:50 am
Improving New York City Thunderstorm Forecasts
Christina Speciale
Department of Environmental Sciences, Cook College, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey

11:15 am
Synoptic and Mesoscale Conditions associated with Persisting and Dissipating Mesoscale Convective Systems that Cross Lake Michigan
Nicholas D. Metz
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:40 am
Investigation of Lightning Patterns over New Jersey and Surrounding Area
Alan M. Cope                                  
NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Mount Holly, New Jersey                   

12:05 pm Lunch

1:30 pm
 Morphologic Investigation of Thunderstorm Initiates and GIS Attributes with Testing for Improved Operational Nowcasting of Thunderstorms and their Severity in New Jersey
Dr. Paul J. Croft, Meteorologist
Programs of Geology & Meteorology, College of Natural, Applied, & Health Sciences
Kean University, Union, New Jersey

1:55 pm
A “Survey” of Tornadoes and their Environments in the WFO Sterling, VA Forecast Area
Matthew R. Kramar
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Sterling, Virginia

2:20 pm
Observed Inverted V Soundings and Downstream Severe Weather in New York and Pennsylvania
Michael Evans
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

2:45 pm
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region AMS in the Rotunda

 

Session  B - Ensemble Forecasting, Modeling & Related Topics

3:15 pm
Forecast Challenges in the NWS Albany, NY Forecast Area Associated with
the Winter Storms of the 2009-2010 Season

Neil A. Stuart
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

3:40 pm
Ensemble Post-Processing and Its Potential Benefits for the Operational Forecaster
Michael Erickson
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

4:05 pm
An Automated Rossby Wave Packet Tracking Program: Preliminary Climatological and Model Verification Results
Matthew Souders
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State University of New York, Stony Brook, New York

4:30 pm
An Overview and Update of the HPC Medium Range Forecast Program
Michael Schichtel
NOAA/NWS Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, Maryland

4:55pm
Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts, Climate Anomalies, and High Resolution Model Guidance to Determine the Potential for Tornadoes across Parts of the Ohio Valley, New Jersey and New York City on 16 September 2010
Josh Korotky
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

5:20 pm
Standard Anomalies to Identify High Impact Weather Events
Richard H. Grumm
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, State College, Pennsylvania

5:45 pm – Adjourn

 

 

 

 

Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Thursday, November 4, 2010

 

Session C – Decision Support & Related Topics

8:30 am
Community Environmental Networks for Risk Identification and Management
Dr. Paul J. Croft, Meteorologist
Programs of Geology & Meteorology, College of Natural, Applied, & Health Sciences
Kean University
, Union, New Jersey

8:55 am
Operational Utilization and Evaluation of a Coupled Weather and Outage Prediction Service for Electric Utility Operations
B. Hertell
Consolidated Edison, New York, New York

9:20 am
Application Of An Operational Meso-Scale Modeling System For Industrial Plant Energy Operations
Anthony P. Praino
IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, New York

9:55 am – Break
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region AMS in the Rotunda

 

 

Session D – Cool Season Topics & Hydrology

10:20 am
Microphysical Evolution Within Winter Snow Storms over Long Island, New York
David Stark
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State University of New York, Stony Brook, New York

10:55 am
Examining the Damaging New England Windstorm of 25-26 February 2010 as a Shapiro-Keyser Cyclone
Stacie Hanes
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Gray, ME

11:20 am
WFO Binghamton Synoptic Flash Flood Classification Study
Christopher Gitro
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

11:45 am
Lunch

 Session E – CSTAR Part 1 – Projects and CSTAR Related Topics

1:15 pm
Predictability of High Impact Weather during the Cool Season over the Eastern U.S: CSTAR Scientific Objectives
Brian A. Colle
School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

1:40 pm
Predictability of High Impact Weather during the Cool Season over the Eastern U.S: CSTAR Operational Aspects
Jeffrey Tongue
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, New York, New York

2:05 pm
A 16-year Climatology of Ice Storms in WFO Albany’s County Warning Area and a Comparison of Two Recent Events
Kevin S. Lipton
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

2:30 pm
MCS Organization and Development Along Land/Lake-Induced Thermodynamic Boundaries near Lake Superior
Alan F. Srock
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

2:55 pm
The 2010 “PRE-Season” In Review:  A Look at Tropical Cyclones Earl, Hermine, and Nicole
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr.
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Binghamton, New York

3:20 pm
Southerly or ‘Reverse’ Mohawk Hudson Convergence Cases
Hugh Johnson and Kimberly McMahon
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Albany, New York

3:45 pm
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region AMS in the Rotunda

 

4:10 pm
An Overview of the Northeast River Forecast Operations and Services and its migration to the Community Hydrologic Prediction System;  “It’s not your Grandfather’s RFC anymore”!
David R. Vallee
NOAA/NWS Northeast River Forecast Center, Taunton, Massachusetts

5:45pm
Adjourn

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agenda
Northeast Regional Operational Workshop
Albany, New York
Friday, November 5, 2010

 

Session G -  CSTAR Part 2 – Projects and CSTAR Related Topics

8:30 am
Synoptic and Mesoscale Processes associated with Predecessor Rain Events
ahead of Tropical Cyclones

Benjamin J. Moore
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder Colorado

8:55 am
The Impact of the Saint Lawrence Valley on the Precipitation Distribution Associated with Extratropical Transitions, 1979-2008
Giselle C. Dookhie
Department of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

9:20 am
Extreme Weather Events over the Northern Hemisphere during Winter 2009-2010
Lance F. Bosart
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

9:45 am
Break – Refreshments for sale by Capital Region AMS in the Rotunda

10:10 am
Forecasting the Inland Extent of Lake-Effect Snow Bands
 Joseph P. Villani
NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, Albany New York

10:35 am
Use of the Albany Hail Study to Predict Large Hail During the 21 July 2010 Severe Weather Event
Brian J. Frugis
NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Albany, New York

 

11:00 am
High-Impact Weather and Reduced Predictability over the United States Associated with the Recurvature of Western North Pacific TC Malakas (2010)
Heather M. Archambault
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York

11:25 am  
Closing Remarks

11:35 am
Adjourn

  

NROW XIII will be held for 3 full days, Tuesday November 1 through Thursday 3, 2011